The Australian Industry Group Australian Performance of Services Index (Australian PSI®) fell slightly by 0.3 points to 47.7 in October, remaining in contraction for a second month (results below 50 points indicate contraction, with lower numbers indicating a stronger rate of contraction).

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Innes Willox, Chief Executive of the national employer association Ai Group, said: "Australia's service sector faces weakening conditions. Chronic labour shortages have dragged on the supply-side of the sector for most of this year. And now the effects of cumulative interest rate rises are weakening demand conditions as well. Conditions particularly deteriorated for retail & hospitality and business & property, which are most exposed to consumer sentiment," Mr Willox said.

Australian PSI® – Key Findings for October 2022:

  • The Australian PSI® indicated contraction in the services sector in October, the second month of declining results.
  • Results were mixed – business & property services showed the strongest month-on-month decline and logistics the largest improvement. Logistics was the only service sector in growth.
  • Sales, deliveries and stocks all indicated substantial deterioration; new orders and employment were positive and improved from September.
  • Services capacity utilisation remained elevated, rising to 79.9%. This reflects tight employment conditions.
  • Wet weather and flooding events, cumulative interest rate increases and labour shortages were key concerns for businesses.

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Seasonally adjusted

Index this month

Change from last month

12- month average

Seasonally adjusted

Index this month

Change from last month

12- month average

Australian PSI®

47.7

-0.3

50.2

Business-oriented services

     

Sales

41.3

-0.5

50.6

Business & property

38.4

-8.2

50.7

Employment

53.9

1.3

50.5

Logistics

51.2

9.9

47.9

New Orders

54.5

4.3

50.9

Finance & insurance

na

na

na

Supplier deliveries

38.4

-4.7

48.7

       

Finished stocks

45.3

-8.2

49.1

Consumer-oriented services

     

Capacity utilisation (%)

79.9

0.8

76.8

Retail trade & hospitality

48.1

-3.1

48.0

Prices and wages

     

Health & education

45.0

4.4

51.8

Input prices

77.6

4.2

64.4

Personal, recreational & other

57.5

-3.8

53.1

Selling prices

62.2

3.9

49.9

       

Average wages

64.8

-1.1

57.6

Australian PSI® (trend)

48.7

-0.6

50.1

Results above 50 points indicate expansion. Data is seasonally adjusted; trend data in the Australian PSI® calculated with a Henderson 13-month filter formula.
na: Results are not available for this sector in this period due to unusually low survey response numbers. All sectors are included in the total results.

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Background: The Ai Group Australian PSI® is a leading indicator of services activity in the Australian economy. It is a seasonally adjusted national composite index based on the diffusion indices for sales, orders/new business, deliveries, inventories and employment with varying weights. An Australian PSI® reading above 50 points indicates that services activity is generally expanding; below 50, that it is declining. The distance from 50 is indicative of the strength of the expansion or decline. Results are based on a sample of around 200 companies each month.

Media Enquiries: Tony Melville: 0419 190 347